Saturday, January 30, 2016

Oscars 2016: Screen Actors Guild Awards Predictions

Hello, Bloggers. The Screen Actors Guild Awards will be taking place tonight and I figured I'd share my predictions for who I think will win the film categories.

Best Ensemble In A Motion Picture:
Beasts of No Nation 
The Big Short 
Straight Outta Compton 

This is a dodgy one. I think it is between Spotlight and The Big Short which are the only nominees up for Best Picture. But The Big Short did just win at the Producers Guild Awards, indicating a sudden industry surge. So it could easily win here.

Will Win: The Big Short 
Should Win: Spotlight 

Best Performance By A Male Actor In A Leading Role:
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo 
Johnny Depp, Black Mass 
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant 
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs 
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl 

The narrative of "It's DiCaprio's time" looks to continue here. Although I'd watch out for Bryan Cranston in Trumbo. It has 3 Screen Actors Guild nominations for Ensemble, Actor, and Supporting Actress for Helen Mirren. Also, TV actors vote in the film categories and Cranston may have support from his TV peers.

Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant 
Should Win: Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs 
Could Win: Bryan Cranston, Trumbo 

Best Performance By A Female Actor In A Leading Role:
Cate Blanchett, Carol 
Brie Larson, Room 
Helen Mirren, Woman In Gold
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn 
Sarah Silverman, I Smile Back 

The Brie Larson train is looking to continue its roll. I certainly hope so.

Should/Will Win: Brie Larson, Room 
Could Win: Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn 

Best Performance By A Male Actor In A Supporting Role:
Christian Bale, The Big Short 
Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation 
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies 
Michael Shannon, 99 Homes 
Jacob Tremblay, Room 

This one's tricky because BFCA and Globe winner Sylvester Stallone isn't nominated here. But if either Christian Bale or Mark Rylance wins, then they are a major threat to Stallone since they are the only ones nominated at the Oscars. But I'm going to go out on a limb and say maybe Idris Elba wins. Beasts of No Nation did also get in for Best Ensemble and they may want to reward the category's only person of color in the midst of the whole #OscarsSoWhite hashtag. Category fraud aside, though, my vote would go to Jacob Tremblay for Room.

Will Win: Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation 
Should Win: Jacob Tremblay, Room 
Could Win: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies 

Best Performance By A Female Actor In A Supporting Role:
Rooney Mara, Carol 
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight 
Helen Mirren, Trumbo 
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl 
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs 

Another dodgy category. But I'll say that it's between the two frauds: Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander. Kate Winslet did win at the Globes, but that might've been because Mara and Vikander were put in Lead. Between both names, I'll go with Vikander. She has more big emotional scenes compared to Mara's passive, subtle performance and she also had a prolific year. My vote would go to Mara, though. McAdams is someone to watch out for since she is one of the few in an Ensemble nominee.

Will Win: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl 
Should Win: Rooney Mara, Carol 
Could Win: Rachel McAdams, Spotlight 

The Screen Actors Guild Awards will air tonight at 8 p.m. ET/5:00 PT on TNT and TBS.