Tuesday, January 3, 2017

74th Golden Globe Awards Predictions: Who Should/Could/Will Win


The Hollywood Foreign Press Association will be hosting the Golden Globe Awards on Sunday and here are my predictions for who I think will win along with my thoughts to who I think should win and who could pull off a shocking upset.

Best Motion Picture-Drama:

Hacksaw Ridge
Hell Or High Water
Lion
Manchester By The Sea
Moonlight

Will Win: Manchester By The Sea
Should/Could Win: Moonlight

I would easily give this to Moonlight. But I'm going to predict Manchester By The Sea taking it. One reason because the Golden Globes are all about star power and Manchester has Matt Damon behind it as a producer. Also, the film's doing amazing specialty business (about $24 million domestically against an $8 million budget). So its star power and popularity could easily boost it to a win.

Should've Been Nominated: Jackie.

Best Motion Picture-Musical Or Comedy:

20th Century Women
Deadpool
Florence Foster Jenkins
La La Land
Sing Street

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: La La Land or Sing Street
Could Win: Deadpool

La La Land will easily take this as it should. Although don't be too surprised if Deadpool somehow pulled out a shocker. Remember when The Hangover, another cultural box office smash, won this category? Strange things have happened.

Should've Been Nominated: The Nice Guys. 

Best Director:

Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Damien Chazelle, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By The Sea

Will Win: Damien Chazelle
Should Win: Barry Jenkins
Could Win: Mel Gibson

Chazelle will probably get swept along a likely La La Land love fest. But in case they want to go with star power, Mel Gibson could take it like when Martin Scorsese won here for Hugo over the eventual Oscar winner Michel Hazanavicius who won for The Artist. 

Should've Been Nominated: Pablo Larrain, Jackie

Best Actor In A Motion Picture-Drama:

Casey Affleck, Manchester By The Sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

Will Win: Casey Affleck
Should Win: Viggo Mortensen
Could Win: Denzel Washington

Casey Affleck is probably going to continue his dominance in the Best Actor race. As great as his performance is, though, I'd give it to Viggo Mortensen even though he has little chance at winning. But if anyone is going to derail Casey Affleck, it'll be Denzel Washington given his star power and the larger than life nature of his performance.

Should've Been Nominated: Jake Gyllenhaal, Nocturnal Animals

Best Actor In A Motion Picture-Musical Or Comedy:

Colin Farrell, The Lobster
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Jonah Hill, War Dogs
Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool

Will Win: Ryan Reynolds
Should Win: Colin Farrell or Ryan Gosling
Could Win: Ryan Gosling

I'm going to go out on a limb and say Ryan Reynolds takes it for Deadpool. He already won the Critics Choice Award for Best Actor In A Comedy and the film exploded in popularity when it was released. However, unless they REALLY love La La Land, I think the other Canadian Ryan could take it. He did have a banner year with La La Land and The Nice Guys. 

Should've Been Nominated: Russell Crowe, The Nice Guys

Best Actress In A Motion Picture-Drama:

Amy Adams, Arrival
Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie

Will/Should Win: Natalie Portman
Could Win: Amy Adams or Isabelle Huppert

Portman should have an easy time winning this. But it won't be that easy. Adams could derail her thanks to her star power and how the film is a box office hit. Also, since this is the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, Isabelle Huppert's international star could work in her favor.

Should've Been Nominated: Mary Elizabeth Winstead, 10 Cloverfield Lane

Best Actress In A Motion Picture-Musical Or Comedy:

Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Lily Collins, Rules Don't Apply
Hailee Steinfeld, Edge of Seventeen
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Will/Should Win: Emma Stone
Could Win: Annette Bening or Meryl Streep

Stone should have an easy time taking this. The film is expected to be a Best Picture frontrunner and she'll likely be carried along with it. Although, unless they want Meryl back on the stage since she'll already be accepting the Cecil B. DeMille Award or previous two-time winner in this category Annette Bening who's getting career-best raves, it might not be TOO easy.

Should've Been Nominated: Sally Field, Hello, My Name Is Doris

Best Supporting Actor In A Motion Picture:

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell Or High Water
Simon Helberg, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel, Lion
Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

Will/Should Win: Mahershala Ali
Could Win: Dev Patel

Ali could, and should, assert his status as the Supporting Actor frontrunner. But if anyone derails Ali, I think it could be Dev Patel. One reason being how he's a lead in Supporting Actor. So there's category fraud. Also, in case they want to throw Lion a bone, Patel could be the beneficiary for the picture.

Should've Been Nominated: Lucas Hedges, Manchester By The Sea

Best Supporting Actress In A Motion Picture:

Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams. Manchester By The Sea

Will Win: Viola Davis
Should Win: Viola Davis or Naomie Harris
Could Win: Nobody

Davis is winning this in a walk.

Should've Been Nominated: Lily Gladstone. Certain Women

Best Screenplay:

Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By The Sea
Taylor Sheridan, Hell Or High Water

Will/Should Win: Kenneth Lonergan
Could Win: Tom Ford

I'm going to predict Kenneth Lonergan taking it as I think he should. Although judging by how they nominated the film for Director and Screenplay, they did like Nocturnal Animals. So Tom Ford, who is nominated for both, could somehow surprise.

Should've Been Nominated: Yorgos Lanthimos and Ethmious Filippou, The Lobster

Best Original Score:

Nicholas Britell, Moonlight
Justin Hurwitz, La La Land
Johann Johansson, Arrival
Dustin O'Holloran and Hauschka, Lion
Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams, and Benjamin Walfisch, Hidden Figures

Will Win: Justin Hurwitz
Should Win: Johann Johannsson
Could Win: Dustin O'Holloran

La La Land will likely have a big night and even score a win here. But even though his score was deemed ineligible, I would love it if Johann Johannsson took it for Arrival. But in case Lion is in danger of going home empty handed, it could pull out a win here.

Should've Been Nominated: Mica Levi, Jackie

Best Original Song:

"Can't Stop The Feeling" from Trolls
"City Of Stars" from La La Land
"Faith" from Sing
"Gold" from Gold
"How Far I'll Go" from Moana

Will Win: "How Far I'll Go"
Should/Could Win: "City Of Stars"

Since the Globes are all about stars, whose star shined brighter this past year than Lin Manuel-Miranda's? Since he's a composer on the music for Moana, I think he could pull out a win that'll culminate from his breakthrough year which included Moana, the cultural phenomenon Hamilton along with his Saturday Night Live hosting gig.

Should've Been Nominated: "Drive It Like You Stole It" from Sing Street

Best Animated Feature:

Kubo And The Two Strings
Moana
My Life As A Zucchini
Sing
Zootopia

Will Win: Kubo And The Two Strings
Should/Could Win: Zootopia

I know that Disney is Disney, but I'm going to say that Kubo And The Two Strings takes Animated Feature due to its slight international appeal given that it's a story about Japanese culture.

Should've Been Nominated: Honestly, I don't really know.

Best Foreign Language Film:

Divines (France)
Elle (France)
Neruda (Chile)
The Salesman (Iran/France)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Will Win: Toni Erdmann
Should Win: N/A
Could Win: Elle

I haven't seen any of the nominees. So I can't really say what I think should win. But Toni Erdmann will probably assert its status as the Foreign Language Film frontrunner.

Should've Been Nominated: The Handmaiden

So those are my predictions for who I think should and will win at the Golden Globes. Whether you agree or disagree, please feel free to write your thoughts in the comments section. Thanks for reading!!